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BUFFALO, N.Y. — Just as the snow from last month’s historic lake effect event melts away, Western New York could be gearing up for another round of lake snow showers a month later.
The quiet start to the week before the holidays will fade by Thursday and Friday as the next wintry weather system moves in, bringing the potential for rain, snow, and even sleet and freezing both days. This could really make for tricky travel and hazardous road conditions Thursday. But once that system moves out Friday night, it could pave the way for lake-effect snow showers over the weekend.
Since Sunday evening, the national weather service has been monitoring the potential for a lake effect setup that could begin as early as Saturday and last through early next week. This is because of long-range computer model data that has been showcasing a generally favorable wind direction over Lake Erie paired with cold air temperatures and water temperatures in the lake over 40 degrees.
Still, that’s about it as of now. The exact timing, placement, and potential snowfall from these lake effect bands is still too early to call. Though, there is a general consensus that once this event begins, the heaviest snow showers will stay south of Buffalo, potentially even the Southtowns, and mainly across the Southern Tier. The snowiest period for the lake effect looks to be later Saturday into Sunday.
There is also the high likelihood for snow to be falling during the Bills game at Highmark Stadium with the chance for snow accumulations to be on the ground by kickoff Unlike this last lake effect event though, we’re not expecting 5 to 6 feet of snow to fall or be on the ground by kickoff Saturday night. So while that wouldn’t warrant a location change, this could be make a mess of a drive for anyone attending the game, especially if there are several inches of snow on the ground after the game.
Keep in mind every lake effect event is different with variables constantly changing leading up to the event. There is also the chance that, similar to the last lake effect event, the band could meander north and south over between Saturday and Monday. This could lead to a large range in totals over a wide area too. At this point, some of the highest snow totals could be upwards of two feet with other locations receiving a few inches.
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